GEOPOLITICAL CHANGES IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND THE PERSIAN GULF FOLLOWING THE UNITED STATES–ISRAEL WAR AGAINST IRAN

Authors

  • Ashot Karapetyan Yerevan State University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.46991/jos.2026.29.1.132

Keywords:

geopolitical transformations, Middle East, Persian Gulf, United States-Israel war against Iran, ideological factor, regional confrontation, Strait of Hormuz

Abstract

The United States–Israel war against Iran (the 12-Day War of February 2026) fundamentally altered the international and geopolitical landscape of the Middle East and the Persian Gulf region. Despite the significant damage inflicted on Iran, the military campaign failed to achieve one of its principal objectives—the overthrow of the Iranian political regime. The strategic calculations of the United States and Israel proved inaccurate, as they underestimated the considerable ideological resilience embedded within Iran’s political and state institutions, the core of which is constituted by Islamic ideology. Iran remains a major regional power owing to its extensive network of political and strategic influence across several Middle Eastern countries, including Gaza, Lebanon, Yemen, Iraq, and Syria. Consequently, any military confrontation with Iran could not be confined solely to Iranian territory but inevitably extended to a broader regional dimension involving multiple arenas of influence and proxy actors.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

1. Al Jazeera. 2025. "Mapping US Troops and Military Bases in the Middle East." June 12, 2025., www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/6/12/¬map-ping-us-t¬roops-and-military-bases-in-the-middle-east?utm

2. Al Jazeera English 2026, Iran war live: Tehran negotiators leave Switzerland as ‘hard work’ begins https://www.aljazeera.com/?utm

1. Press TV. 2024. "Iran’s Assembly of Experts Highlights Strengths of Islamic Democracy." May 21, 2024. https://www.presstv.ir/-Detail/2024/05/21/725951/Iran-Assembly-Experts-Islamic-democracy

2. The Guardian. 2026. "Ali Khamenei’s Son Mojtaba Chosen as Iran’s New Supreme Leader." March 8, 2026. https://www.theguar-dian.com/¬world/2026/mar/08/ali-khameneis-son-mojtaba-chosen-as-irans-new-supreme-leader?utm

3. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). 2026. Today in Energy. Accessed June 22, 2026 https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail

4. GMA Network. 2024. "Iran Missile Attacks on Kuwait and Bahrain Fail as US Strikes Back: CENTCOM www.gmanetwork.com/news/¬topstories/¬world/990008/iran-missile-attacks-on-kuwait-and-bahrain-fail-as-us-strikes-back-centcom/story/

5. CBS News. 2017. "Trump Signs $110 Billion Arms Deal with Saudi Arabia." May 20, 2017. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-signs-110-billion-arms-deal-with-saudi-arabia/?utm_source=chatgpt.com

6. Anadolu Ajansı. 2024. "Israel Says Türkiye Under President Erdogan Led Hostile Approach Against Tel Aviv.", https://www.aa.com.tr/¬en/¬middle-east/israel-says-turkiye-under-president-erdogan-led-hostile-approach-against-tel-aviv/

7. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). 2019. "The Strait of Hormuz Is the World's Most Important Oil Chokepoint." Today in Energy. June 20, 2019., https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/¬detail.php?id=¬39932-&utm

Downloads

Published

2026-06-30

How to Cite

GEOPOLITICAL CHANGES IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND THE PERSIAN GULF FOLLOWING THE UNITED STATES–ISRAEL WAR AGAINST IRAN. (2026). Journal of Oriental Studies, 29(1), 132-146. https://doi.org/10.46991/jos.2026.29.1.132