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Keywords:
fragile independence, sovereignty, reintegration, bridging sustainable development, good governance, parliamentary elections, polycrisis, geopolitical rivalry, economic vulnerability, multiculturalism, humanitarian interventions, digital colonialismAbstract
The current geopolitical standoff between Russia and the West is characterized by unique features, including the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and hybrid and proxy conflicts waged by authoritarian regimes against Western democracies—all unfolding against the backdrop of modern advancements in artificial intelligence and information-communication technologies. These processes are driven by the ambition of Russia and China to establish global dominance within a new world order—a transition that has been underway for several decades. Amidst this new geopolitical landscape, many nations across various regions are reorienting their foreign and trade-economic policies. Polarization is intensifying not only between nations but also among individuals; social polarization has emerged as a top global risk in both the short and long term. Defined as a loss of social capital and the fracturing of communities—leading to diminished social stability, reduced individual and collective well-being, and lower economic productivity—social polarization is further fueled by a host of other risks, ranging from debt crises, inflation, and prolonged recession to climate-induced migration. Rising inequality and a widening values gap pose an existential challenge to both authoritarian and democratic systems, as economic and social disparities translate into political divisions. Growing public discontent with government inaction manifested last year in frequent and unmanageable civil protests. The modern world is undergoing transformative crises; the trajectory of these profound changes amounts to a political, economic, social, and military earthquake. A crucial component of this contemporary mega-crisis is the internationalization of the Russia-Ukraine war, which has laid bare the essence of the geopolitical standoff between Russia and the West—a confrontation that has brought the world perilously close to the risk of nuclear war.
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The current geopolitical standoff between Russia and the West is characterized by unique features, including the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and hybrid and proxy conflicts waged by authoritarian regimes against Western democracies—all unfolding against the backdrop of modern advancements in artificial intelligence and information-communication technologies. These processes are driven by the ambition of Russia and China to establish global dominance within a new world order—a transition that has been underway for several decades. Amidst this new geopolitical landscape, many nations across various regions are reorienting their foreign and trade-economic policies.
The modern world is undergoing transformative crises; the trajectory of these profound changes amounts to a political, economic, social, and military earthquake. A crucial component of this contemporary mega-crisis is the internationalization of the Russia-Ukraine war, which has laid bare the essence of the geopolitical standoff between Russia and the West—a confrontation that has brought the world perilously close to the risk of nuclear war. The interplay of internal contradictions and conflicts, combined with the aspirations of the ruling elites in the Newly Independent States, has turned these nations into targets of Russian antagonism. In its bid to curtail the independence of these states, Russia justifies its aggressive actions as essential measures for bolstering its own national security. Clearly, Russia is employing a strictly confrontational model in its dealings with the Newly Independent States to tilt the strategic security balance in its own favor, thereby creating a zone of geopolitical alienation and marginalization for these nations.
The West’s earlier sanctions pressure on Russia has evolved into a systemic strategic course; its implementation—particularly regarding technology—impacts not only post-Soviet states but also China, India, Iran, African nations, and others. These are no longer merely isolated crisis-related trends or manifestations, but a comprehensive array of crises whose internationalization has become a defining feature of regional, sub-regional, national, transnational, and international affairs.
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